Statistical anomaly or magic cat sense?

I find it interesting that when presented with an unusual event, like a cat that appears able to predict imminent death at a nursing home, the first assumption is the cat has some sort of magical powers, not that it’s a statistical anomaly.

Maybe the cat is magic.  But I don’t think I’d assume that until I got a chance to crunch some numbers to verify the probability of a cat randomly selecting people about to die in a nursing home.

Jumping to this conclusion tells us a lot about ourselves, and our lack of critical thinking skills.  Develop and use those skills instead of assuming you’ve found a magic cat.


About Paul Stagg

Husband, lifter, MBA in Baltimore, MD. Will post about Powerlifting, politics, Classical Liberalism, Economics, building wealth, self improvement, productivity, heavy music, wine, food, beer, and almost anything else. View all posts by Paul Stagg

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